No. 24 Florida at Florida State: Week 13 preview

No. 24 Florida (5-4) visits Florida State (4-5) on Fri, Nov 27 · 3:30 PM ET. The line is Florida −4.5 with a total of 52.5.
SP+ power ratings: Florida 5.9 (47th), Florida State 5.5 (49th). SP+ projects Florida State by 2.1, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Florida offense ranks 43rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.17); the Florida State defense ranks 118th (+0.22 allowed). Biggest Florida edges: EPA per play, EPA per pass, explosiveness. The Florida State defense holds the edge in sack rate.
The Florida State offense ranks 42nd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.17); the Florida defense ranks 90th (+0.15 allowed). Biggest Florida State edges: stuff rate, passing-downs success rate, line yards per carry. The Florida defense holds the edge in sack rate.
Schedule: Florida has faced the tougher slate so far (2nd toughest, opp. SP+ +13.1, vs. 21st toughest, opp. SP+ +8.0 for Florida State), a moderate edge.
Pace: projected for about 134 total snaps in regulation (+2.4 vs. the FBS average of 132), a bit faster than average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.