No. 14 LSU at Arkansas: Week 13 preview

No. 14 LSU (6-3) visits Arkansas (3-6) on Sat, Nov 28 · TBD.
SP+ power ratings: LSU 22.9 (7th), Arkansas -3.6 (88th). SP+ projects LSU by 24.0, including 2.5 points of home field.
The LSU offense ranks 29th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.20); the Arkansas defense ranks 116th (+0.22 allowed). Biggest LSU edges: standard-downs success rate, success rate, rushing success rate. The Arkansas defense holds the edge in explosiveness, rushing explosiveness.
The Arkansas offense ranks 108th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.03); the LSU defense ranks 18th (−0.01 allowed). The LSU defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness, passing-downs success rate, second-level yards per carry.
Schedule: Arkansas has faced the tougher slate so far (4th toughest, opp. SP+ +12.2, vs. 20th toughest, opp. SP+ +8.1 for LSU), a moderate edge.
Pace: projected for about 134 total snaps in regulation (+2.4 vs. the FBS average of 132), a bit faster than average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.