No. 11 Notre Dame at Syracuse: Week 13 preview

No. 11 Notre Dame (8-1) visits Syracuse (4-5) on Sat, Nov 28 · TBD.
SP+ power ratings: Notre Dame 24.4 (2nd), Syracuse -2.7 (85th). SP+ projects Notre Dame by 24.6, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Notre Dame offense ranks 3rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.35); the Syracuse defense ranks 81st (+0.14 allowed). Biggest Notre Dame edges: power success rate, standard-downs success rate, EPA per rush. The Syracuse defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness, passing-downs success rate.
The Syracuse offense ranks 99th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.05); the Notre Dame defense ranks 16th (−0.01 allowed). The Notre Dame defense holds the edge in second-level yards per carry, EPA per play, line yards per carry.
Schedule: comparable so far (Notre Dame 66th toughest, opp. SP+ +1.9; Syracuse 43rd toughest, opp. SP+ +5.3), so their numbers compare on even footing.
Pace: projected for about 131 total snaps in regulation (in line with the FBS average of 132), about average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.