Oklahoma at No. 18 Missouri: Week 13 preview

Oklahoma (5-4) visits No. 18 Missouri (6-3) on Sat, Nov 28 · TBD.
SP+ power ratings: Oklahoma 7.8 (45th), Missouri 13.7 (28th). SP+ projects Missouri by 8.4, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Oklahoma offense ranks 114th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.01); the Missouri defense ranks 27th (+0.02 allowed). The Missouri defense holds the edge in EPA per rush, second-level yards per carry, line yards per carry.
The Missouri offense ranks 60th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.13); the Oklahoma defense ranks 6th (−0.06 allowed). Biggest Missouri edges: passing explosiveness, explosiveness. The Oklahoma defense holds the edge in rushing success rate, passing-downs success rate, success rate.
Schedule: Oklahoma has faced the tougher slate so far (15th toughest, opp. SP+ +9.4, vs. 44th toughest, opp. SP+ +5.2 for Missouri), a moderate edge.
Pace: projected for about 130 total snaps in regulation (-1.8 vs. the FBS average of 132), a bit slower than average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.