No. 13 Tennessee at Vanderbilt: Week 13 preview

No. 13 Tennessee (7-2) visits Vanderbilt (4-5) on Sat, Nov 28 · TBD. The line is Tennessee −3 with a total of 57.5.
SP+ power ratings: Tennessee 20.5 (10th), Vanderbilt -1.5 (78th). SP+ projects Tennessee by 19.5, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Tennessee offense ranks 58th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.13); the Vanderbilt defense ranks 95th (+0.16 allowed). Biggest Tennessee edges: rushing success rate, power success rate, standard-downs success rate. The Vanderbilt defense holds the edge in explosiveness, passing explosiveness.
The Vanderbilt offense ranks 97th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.05); the Tennessee defense ranks 5th (−0.07 allowed). The Tennessee defense holds the edge in EPA per play, sack rate, EPA per rush.
Schedule: comparable so far (Tennessee 35th toughest, opp. SP+ +6.2; Vanderbilt 39th toughest, opp. SP+ +5.6), so their numbers compare on even footing.
Pace: projected for about 130 total snaps in regulation (-1.3 vs. the FBS average of 132), about average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.