West Virginia at No. 3 Utah: Week 13 preview

West Virginia (5-4) visits No. 3 Utah (9-0) on Fri, Nov 27 · 9:00 PM ET.
SP+ power ratings: West Virginia -0.2 (73rd), Utah 21.5 (9th). SP+ projects Utah by 24.2, including 2.5 points of home field.
The West Virginia offense ranks 45th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.16); the Utah defense ranks 22nd (+0.00 allowed). Biggest West Virginia edges: passing explosiveness, explosiveness, rushing explosiveness. The Utah defense holds the edge in passing success rate, standard-downs success rate, power success rate.
The Utah offense ranks 9th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.28); the West Virginia defense ranks 134th (+0.31 allowed). Biggest Utah edges: EPA per play, passing success rate, passing-downs success rate. The West Virginia defense holds the edge in stuff rate.
Schedule: West Virginia has faced the tougher slate so far (33rd toughest, opp. SP+ +6.4, vs. 60th toughest, opp. SP+ +2.4 for Utah), a moderate edge.
Pace: projected for about 138 total snaps in regulation (+6.5 vs. the FBS average of 132), faster than average. Single games vary a lot: most land within 12 snaps of the projection.